Challenge Cup 2018/19

Relieved to get a win yesterday but we blew a big chance at 17-0 when we quick tapped a penalty in the corner when Sale were getting destroyed by our maul and on a final warning.

In the end relieved to get a win if even for the sake of morale.

Really we blew the chance of winning the group in the earlier games.

Grenoble v Treviso is on Friday so at least we will know what we need. Hopefully we can just get through even if its Clermont away and reevaluate in April.

Cardiff is certainly the bigger game for our season though.

neill_m wrote: Current standings

Clermont 25 (Dragons A)
La Rochelle 20 (Zebre A)
Sale 17 (Perpignan H)
Worcester 17 (Stade H)
Quins 16 (Agen A)

Connacht 17 (Bordeaux A)
Bristol 16 (Enisei H)
Saints 16 (Timisoara Sarries H)

Treviso 15 (Grenoble A)
Ospreys 12 (Pau A)

Some of the Craggy Rugby podcast crew have attempted to work out the permutations for Connacht at the weekend and you can find the breakdown of those permutations. here .

Let us know if you spot something we have missed.

Thanks Pinky, the permutations page is updated. We appreciate the feedback.

Grenoble are doing us no favours at the minute with Benetton running away with things.

Treviso hammering Grenoble means we're out unless we win tomorrow.

Unless we get try Bonus point tomorrow we've Clermont away huge ask.
Win away to Sale is possible.
Miracle would be us getting 5 points and sale to fail leaving us topping group and home quarter

Following tonight's results permutations have been simplified slightly.

If as expected Bristol and Sale both get 5 points:
We lose, we're gone, no amount of Bonus points will do (even a BP draw wouldn't get us through)
If we win without a BP we will go through as 8th placed team if La Rochelle get one point (or more) and we don't close a difference of 102 points. or if we don't win by 51 more points than Bristol. We would then face Clermont away.

If Zebre beat La Rochelle by more than 7 (and La Rochelle don't get a TBP), we would finish 7th and face most likely Sale, but still possibly Worcester (they would need to win by 40 more than Sale with a BP).

If we get a BP win, we finish on 22 points and would finish as 6th place team.
We would then most likely play Sale but still possibly La Rochelle/Worcester.

There's hundreds more permutations that involve miraculous wins for Enisei and/or Perpignan but I think even hoping there's not BP wins for Bristol and Sale is unrealistic.

There's also loads more possibilities if we win by like 150 but don't get the try bonus so realistically it's BP we play Sale (if Zebre and/or Bristol don't do something huge) No BP it's Clermont. Anything else it's Benetton through instead of us.

Well that was an interesting afternoon we now play Sale away, (not the Enya song)

Bordeaux really offered us this one, a beautifuf pass to Carty. Benetton may scream for plot, they were about to have their 1st European QF

Ya I do feel for Benetton, but hopefully they'll have a Pro14 play-off spot as consolation, who knows they may even be in the sportsground with the opportunity for a revenge of sorts.

Or another desillusion

Did TG4 not used to show challenge cup highlights or am I mad?